Science Public Policy Analyst
Public Policy Steps
Calculation 4: Probability of Support = Calculation 2 Divided by Calculation 3
Divide the number you found in Calculation 2 by the number you found in Calculation 3. In this case, it would be 38 divided by 50 which equals .76 or 76%. The calculation of the probability for the policy analyzed in the Prince Chart in the example indicates that there is a 76% chance that tuition rates will increase. In other words, this forecast indicates that the chances are quite high that the rates will increase.
Calculating the Prince Chart and Calculating the Probability of the Policy Being Accepted